Vanersborgs IF 1-0 IFK Kumla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Apr 2024

Vanersborgs IF
1-0 HT 1-0
IFK Kumla
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2024

Vanersborgs IF vs IFK Kumla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.23
Over 2.5
44%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vanersborgs IF v IFK Kumla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 32%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.65
-49% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs IFK Kumla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF squeezed past IFK Kumla 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vanersborgs IF as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs IFK Kumla?

Vanersborgs IF 1-0 IFK Kumla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs IFK Kumla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 42%, draw 26%, IFK Kumla 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vanersborgs IF), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vanersborgs IF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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