Nosaby IF 3-0 IFK Trelleborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.12
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
43%
+9.3pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.7pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.3pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.82/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.37
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nosaby IF
1W-1D-0L
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
14.10.2023 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 3-1 HT 1-0 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
18.06.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Nosaby IF vs IFK Trelleborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nosaby IF swept aside IFK Trelleborg 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nosaby IF as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nosaby IF had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nosaby IF and 0.50 for IFK Trelleborg.

What was the final score of Nosaby IF vs IFK Trelleborg?

Nosaby IF 3-0 IFK Trelleborg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nosaby IF vs IFK Trelleborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nosaby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nosaby IF 53%, draw 18%, IFK Trelleborg 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nosaby IF), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nosaby IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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