IFK Berga 3-2 Kristianstads FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
39%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
39%
Away Win
49%
-10.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.6pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Berga EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristianstads FF EU Bookmakers 54%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.50/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.06
+7% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Berga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kristianstads FF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
16.09.2023 Kristianstads FF Kristianstads FF 0-4 HT 0-1 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
21.05.2023 IFK Berga IFK Berga 2-1 HT 1-0 Kristianstads FF Kristianstads FF İSÇ4
07.08.2022 Kristianstads FF Kristianstads FF 4-0 HT 0-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
16.04.2022 IFK Berga IFK Berga 1-1 HT 0-0 Kristianstads FF Kristianstads FF İSÇ4
22.09.2021 IFK Berga IFK Berga 1-0 HT 0-0 Kristianstads FF Kristianstads FF İSÇ4
24.08.2021 Kristianstads FF Kristianstads FF 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Berga vs Kristianstads FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Berga squeezed past Kristianstads FF 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day IFK Berga made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Berga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IFK Berga and 1.33 for Kristianstads FF.

What was the final score of IFK Berga vs Kristianstads FF?

IFK Berga 3-2 Kristianstads FF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Berga vs Kristianstads FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kristianstads FF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split IFK Berga 34%, draw 27%, Kristianstads FF 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kristianstads FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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