Österlen 4-3 IFK Hassleholm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.3pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Österlen EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Hassleholm EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.32/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.76
-38% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Österlen
3W-0D-2L
AWAY IFK Hassleholm
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Österlen Österlen 1-2 HT 1-1 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm İSÇ4
26.05.2023 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm 0-2 HT 0-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
20.08.2022 Österlen Österlen 2-1 HT 1-1 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm İSÇ4
29.04.2022 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm 2-1 HT 1-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
18.10.2020 Österlen Österlen 4-1 HT 2-0 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Österlen vs IFK Hassleholm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Österlen squeezed past IFK Hassleholm 4-3. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Österlen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Österlen had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Österlen and 1.20 for IFK Hassleholm.

What was the final score of Österlen vs IFK Hassleholm?

Österlen 4-3 IFK Hassleholm in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Österlen vs IFK Hassleholm?

Before kick-off our model rated a Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Österlen 49%, draw 26%, IFK Hassleholm 24%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Österlen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Österlen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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