IFK Kumla 1-1 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
52%
+5.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.7pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.37/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/3.26
+22% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.04.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 1-0 HT 1-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Kumla and Vanersborgs IF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had IFK Kumla at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF?

IFK Kumla 1-1 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 57%, draw 21%, Vanersborgs IF 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Kumla), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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