Basel II 1-4 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 13 Sep 2025

Basel II
1-4 HT 1-0
Bavois
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

Basel II vs Bavois Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+4.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.5pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Basel II v Bavois — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -21%
1.88/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.94
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Basel II vs Bavois Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel II
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bavois
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Bavois 3-0 HT 1-0 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
06.04.2024 Bavois 1-0 HT 1-0 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
30.09.2023 Basel II Basel II 0-2 HT 0-0 Bavois İSV1Y
29.04.2023 Bavois 4-4 HT 2-1 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
22.10.2022 Basel II Basel II 1-3 HT 1-2 Bavois İSV1Y
27.11.2021 Bavois 2-0 HT 1-0 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Basel II vs Bavois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bavois cruised past Basel II 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Basel II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bavois led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Basel II and 2.50 for Bavois.

What was the final score of Basel II vs Bavois?

Basel II 1-4 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel II vs Bavois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Basel II 49%, draw 20%, Bavois 31%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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