Padova Calcio 0-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.62
Over
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.51
2-3
38%
1.72
4-5
21%
4.3
6+
9%
22.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.45
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
9%
5.21
X/2
15%
6.35
X/X
11%
3.74
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
15%
4.71
2/X
6%
12.8
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone The Market 33%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.22/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.34
-41% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.2 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Frosinone
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.09.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 1-3 HT 1-3 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTK
16.04.2011 Frosinone Frosinone 1-1 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTB
13.11.2010 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 3-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
13.02.2010 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
12.09.2009 Frosinone Frosinone 2-2 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
0-1
AWAY Frosinone
0.62 xG 1.05
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Padova Calcio vs Frosinone
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Frosinone edged past Padova Calcio 1-0 on their travels.

From a near-even 41% / 23% / 36% read, it was Frosinone who turned the coin-flip their way.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 46%. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.62, roughly 62%.

The match data tells the story: possession split 56% to 44% in Padova Calcio's favour, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.62 to 1.05.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.80 a game for Padova Calcio against 1.00 for Frosinone.

Padova Calcio vs Frosinone Result & Final Score

Padova Calcio 0-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Padova Calcio vs Frosinone Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 41%, draw 23%, Frosinone 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Padova Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
13 Sep 2025
16:00 Modena vs FC Bari 1908 Analysis →
16:00 Pescara vs Venezia Analysis →
16:00 Juve Stabia vs Reggiana Analysis →
18:15 Catanzaro vs Carrarese Analysis →
20:30 Sampdoria vs Cesena Analysis →