Catanzaro 1-1 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Sep 2025

Catanzaro
1-1 HT 0-0
Carrarese
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Catanzaro vs Carrarese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.56
Over
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.97
No
46%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.32
2-3
42%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.73
6+
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X ✗
12%
12.7
X/1
14%
5.1
X/2
15%
6.41
X/X
13%
3.55
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
10%
4.94
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 1/X at 12.7 — our 12% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Catanzaro v Carrarese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese The Market 32%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.31/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.38
+35% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.2 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

Catanzaro vs Carrarese Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Carrarese
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.42 xG 0.61
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
360 Passes 319
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.04.2025 Carrarese Carrarese 2-2 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
01.09.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-1 HT 2-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTB

Catanzaro 1-1 Carrarese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
1-1
AWAY Carrarese
1.03 xG 1.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
397 Passes 256
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Catanzaro vs Carrarese
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Catanzaro and Carrarese traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (59%) came home.

Under the surface, Catanzaro had 59% of the ball to Carrarese's 41%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.03 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Catanzaro had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Catanzaro and 1.50 for Carrarese.

Catanzaro vs Carrarese Result & Final Score

Catanzaro 1-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Catanzaro vs Carrarese Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 35%, draw 33%, Carrarese 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Catanzaro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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