Carrarese 2-2 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.8
Over
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No Pick
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.12
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.63
6+
11%
14.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.22
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
16%
5.25
X/2
12%
6.8
X/X
14%
4.4
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.82
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.48/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.58
+8% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.7 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.38 xG 1.85
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 0
406 Passes 367
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-1 HT 2-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
2-2
AWAY Catanzaro
0.84 xG 0.99
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 5
232 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese and Catanzaro couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Carrarese at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Carrarese had 43% of the ball to Catanzaro's 57%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.84 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Catanzaro?

Carrarese 2-2 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 44%, draw 26%, Catanzaro 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carrarese) ✗ BTTS No
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