Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.64
Over
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.6
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
18%
4.35
6+
7%
22.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.6 — our 36% vs market 31.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.28
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
12%
5.94
X/2
18%
5.57
X/X
16%
3.93
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.86
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.5pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.26/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.44
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
23.2 Crosses 18.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Brescia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 326
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Brescia Brescia 2-3 HT 0-2 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
01.04.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
03.09.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
01.06.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
25.05.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
01.05.2023 Brescia Brescia 2-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1-1
AWAY Brescia
1.78 xG 0.57
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 7
368 Passes 184
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
40 Box Touches 16
44 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio and Brescia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 64% of the ball to Brescia's 36%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.78 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brescia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 1.33 for Brescia.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Brescia?

Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 32%, draw 29%, Brescia 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brescia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brescia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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