Sampdoria vs Cittadella Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sampdoria v Cittadella — Team-Based Signals
Sampdoria vs Cittadella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Cittadella
İTB
1-2
HT 1-2
Sampdoria
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Cittadella
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Sampdoria
İTB
Sampdoria 1-0 Cittadella — Actual Match Statistics
Sampdoria nicked a narrow win over Cittadella 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sampdoria as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
On the day, Sampdoria had 57% of the ball to Cittadella's 43%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.67 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sampdoria and 0.83 for Cittadella.
What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Cittadella?
Sampdoria 1-0 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Cittadella?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 49%, draw 26%, Cittadella 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sampdoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.