Modena vs Sassuolo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Modena v Sassuolo — Team-Based Signals
Modena vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Sassuolo
İTK
2-0
HT 0-0
Modena
İTK
2-1
HT 0-1
Sassuolo
İTB
2-0
HT 1-0
Modena
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Modena
İTB
Modena 1-3 Sassuolo — Actual Match Statistics
Sassuolo saw off Modena 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Modena had 54% of the ball to Sassuolo's 46%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.79 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Modena and 1.50 for Sassuolo.
What was the final score of Modena vs Sassuolo?
Modena 1-3 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Modena vs Sassuolo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Modena 28%, draw 29%, Sassuolo 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.