Sassuolo 2-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Oct 2024

Sassuolo
2-0 HT 1-0
Modena
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Sassuolo vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 27% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.75
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.54
X/2
8%
7.22
X/X
10%
4.71
2/1
16%
24.85
2/2
11%
5.27
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sassuolo v Modena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.17/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.39
-26% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
13.6 Crosses 17.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Sassuolo vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Modena
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.76 xG 2.16
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 6
435 Passes 205
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 29
28 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.08.2022 Modena Modena 3-2 HT 2-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTK
15.08.2015 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTK
26.04.2013 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
07.12.2012 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-0 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
06.04.2012 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
01.11.2011 Modena Modena 2-5 HT 0-3 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB

Sassuolo 2-0 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
2-0
AWAY Modena
1.50 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
431 Passes 382
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
41 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo beat Modena 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sassuolo had 52% of the ball to Modena's 48%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.50 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sassuolo and 1.17 for Modena.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Modena?

Sassuolo 2-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 46%, draw 26%, Modena 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ BTTS Yes
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