Cremonese 2-1 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 30% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.27
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.95
X/1
12%
4.13
X/2
10%
9.13
X/X
15%
4.99
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
12%
6.9
2/X
4%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.59/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.58
-7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
24.0 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Salernitana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.64 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 2-0 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
05.11.2022 Salernitana Salernitana 2-2 HT 2-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTA
06.03.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
23.11.2020 Salernitana Salernitana 2-1 HT 1-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
29.06.2020 Salernitana Salernitana 3-3 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
10.11.2019 Cremonese Cremonese 1-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
2-1
AWAY Salernitana
1.25 xG 0.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
354 Passes 472
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 13
8 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese squeezed past Salernitana 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cremonese had 43% of the ball to Salernitana's 57%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 1.25 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cremonese and 1.33 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Salernitana?

Cremonese 2-1 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie B on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 41%, draw 30%, Salernitana 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
26 Oct 2024
16:00 Cesena vs Brescia Analysis →
16:00 Cosenza Calcio vs Juve Stabia Analysis →
16:00 Palermo vs Reggiana Analysis →
18:15 Carrarese vs Cittadella Analysis →
18:15 Sassuolo vs Modena Analysis →