Carrarese 3-0 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.67
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.26
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.74
X/2
12%
6.42
X/X
13%
3.8
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
10%
5.02
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
1.85/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.21
-25% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.0 Crosses 23.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
3-0
AWAY Cittadella
0.48 xG 1.34
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
468 Passes 290
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese swept aside Cittadella 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carrarese as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Carrarese had 59% of the ball to Cittadella's 41%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.48 to 1.34 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cittadella.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Cittadella?

Carrarese 3-0 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 44%, draw 26%, Cittadella 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carrarese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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