Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Oct 2024

Cosenza Calcio
1-1 HT 1-1
Juve Stabia
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Cosenza Calcio vs Juve Stabia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.71
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 36% vs market 33.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.77
X/2 EV+ ✗
18%
6.38
X/X
11%
3.78
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
12%
4.97
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · X/2 at 6.38 — our 18% vs market 11.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cosenza Calcio v Juve Stabia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.45/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.13
-11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
24.2 Crosses 13.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Cosenza Calcio vs Juve Stabia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.10 xG 1.23
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
182 Passes 305
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.07.2020 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 3-1 HT 2-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
29.12.2019 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
17.10.2015 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-1 HT 1-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTC
11.03.2015 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTC
28.01.2015 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTCK

Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Juve Stabia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1-1
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.01 xG 1.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
168 Passes 196
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio and Juve Stabia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 48% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 52%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.01 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cosenza Calcio had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 0.80 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Juve Stabia?

Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 38%, draw 26%, Juve Stabia 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cosenza Calcio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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