Palermo 2-0 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.77
6+ Goals
8%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 33% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.45
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.17
X/2
8%
8.38
X/X
10%
4.56
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
9%
6.54
2/X
10%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.65/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.27
+2% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
25.0 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Reggiana
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.37 xG 0.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
374 Passes 326
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Palermo Palermo 1-2 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
29.08.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-3 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
31.07.2022 Palermo Palermo 3-2 HT 2-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
2-0
AWAY Reggiana
2.15 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 Passes 316
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo beat Reggiana 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Palermo had 53% of the ball to Reggiana's 47%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.15 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Palermo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Palermo and 1.67 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Reggiana?

Palermo 2-0 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Palermo 48%, draw 28%, Reggiana 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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