Brescia 2-3 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.33
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.45
X/1
11%
5.05
X/2
14%
6.47
X/X
10%
3.88
2/1
11%
30.0
2/2
14%
4.76
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.34/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.30
+3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
22.7 Crosses 21.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
03.09.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
01.06.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
25.05.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
01.05.2023 Brescia Brescia 2-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
08.12.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
2-3
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.33 xG 2.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 0
271 Passes 244
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio nicked a narrow win over Brescia 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Cosenza Calcio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brescia had 53% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 47%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.33 to 2.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brescia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brescia and 0.83 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Cosenza Calcio?

Brescia 2-3 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brescia 39%, draw 27%, Cosenza Calcio 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brescia) ✗ Under 2.5
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