Pisa 3-0 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
12%
13.0
X/1
13%
4.5
X/2
11%
7.49
X/X
11%
3.93
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
14%
5.88
2/X
5%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.47/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.36
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
23.1 Crosses 15.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.86 xG 0.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
387 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Pisa Pisa 2-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
25.08.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-2 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
3-0
AWAY Sampdoria
1.00 xG 0.88
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
244 Passes 420
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pisa vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa cruised past Sampdoria 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pisa had 39% of the ball to Sampdoria's 61%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.00 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pisa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pisa and 0.00 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Pisa vs Sampdoria?

Pisa 3-0 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pisa 41%, draw 27%, Sampdoria 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pisa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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