Südtirol 0-1 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.54
6+ Goals
12%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.76
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
7%
7.19
X/2
15%
4.42
X/X
17%
3.91
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.89
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
0.92/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.06
+10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -28%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
17.1 Crosses 15.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
0-1
AWAY Sassuolo
1.00 xG 1.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
339 Passes 474
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Sassuolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo squeezed past Südtirol 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Südtirol had 43% of the ball to Sassuolo's 57%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.00 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Sassuolo?

Südtirol 0-1 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Sassuolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 27%, draw 31%, Sassuolo 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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