Modena vs Carrarese Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Modena v Carrarese — Team-Based Signals
Modena vs Carrarese Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-1
Modena
İTC
2-0
HT 1-0
Carrarese
İTC
Modena 2-0 Carrarese — Actual Match Statistics
Modena beat Carrarese 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Modena as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Modena had 44% of the ball to Carrarese's 56%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.89 to 0.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Modena and 1.00 for Carrarese.
What was the final score of Modena vs Carrarese?
Modena 2-0 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Modena vs Carrarese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Modena 48%, draw 30%, Carrarese 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.