Mantova 1-0 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.96
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
12%
7.72
X/2
12%
4.29
X/X
13%
4.5
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.62
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 52%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.13/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.08
-49% / +147% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
230 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
15.4 Crosses 24.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Cremonese
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
27.09.2015 Cremonese Cremonese 3-3 HT 2-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
11.03.2006 Mantova Mantova 0-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
22.10.2005 Cremonese Cremonese 1-2 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
1-0
AWAY Cremonese
0.82 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 Passes 223
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova squeezed past Cremonese 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mantova had 55% of the ball to Cremonese's 45%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 0.82 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mantova had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mantova and 1.33 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Cremonese?

Mantova 1-0 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mantova 33%, draw 25%, Cremonese 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cremonese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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