Sampdoria 1-2 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Sep 2025

Sampdoria
1-2 HT 0-1
Cesena
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Sampdoria vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.54
Over
50%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
2.0
No
47%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.27
2-3
37%
1.74
4-5
22%
4.89
6+
10%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.91
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
10%
5.31
X/2
12%
5.59
X/X
15%
3.64
2/1 ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.22
2/X
6%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Sampdoria v Cesena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena The Market 37%
-9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.27/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.96
-25% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.2 Crosses 16.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sampdoria vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cesena
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
380 Passes 288
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.01.2025 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-2 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
20.10.2024 Cesena Cesena 3-5 HT 2-2 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
18.04.2015 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTA
23.11.2014 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
06.03.2011 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-3 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTA
31.10.2010 Cesena Cesena 0-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA

Sampdoria 1-2 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
1-2
AWAY Cesena
0.35 xG 1.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
376 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Sampdoria vs Cesena
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cesena squeezed past Sampdoria 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Cesena made the difference.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. At 1.54 (~65%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

On the day, possession split 54% to 46% in Sampdoria's favour, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.35 to 1.75 — on chances created, Cesena won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Sampdoria against 1.50 for Cesena.

Sampdoria vs Cesena Result & Final Score

Sampdoria 1-2 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sampdoria vs Cesena Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 38%, draw 26%, Cesena 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sampdoria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ BTTS Yes
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