UMF Selfoss 1-4 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 55%
-18% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.47/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.96
-9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +49%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
302 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UMF Selfoss
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Keflavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.07.2025 Keflavik Keflavik 3-2 HT 2-2 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
28.02.2025 Keflavik Keflavik 3-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZLK
28.02.2021 Keflavik Keflavik 2-0 HT 0-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZLK
20.09.2012 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-1 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
02.07.2012 Keflavik Keflavik 2-2 HT 1-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL
19.08.2010 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 3-2 HT 0-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
FAQ UMF Selfoss vs Keflavik
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Keflavik ran out comfortable winners over UMF Selfoss 4-1 away from home in the Iceland - 1st Division on 13 Sep 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 59%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UMF Selfoss and 2.17 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of UMF Selfoss vs Keflavik?

UMF Selfoss 1-4 Keflavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Selfoss vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UMF Selfoss 31%, draw 22%, Keflavik 48%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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