Fjölnir 1-2 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.33
No
43%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
33%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
71%
-14.3pp
43%
BTTS No
29%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.18/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.52
-32% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2025 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
11.07.2024 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
10.05.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
09.09.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
06.07.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-1 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
28.02.2021 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-4 HT 1-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiknir Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over Fjölnir 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leiknir Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Fjölnir and 0.83 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Fjölnir 1-2 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 28%, draw 24%, Leiknir Reykjavik 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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