Coquimbo Unido 2-1 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 22%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.55/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.64
-12% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
27.9 Crosses 15.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coquimbo Unido
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nublense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 1.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 Passes 357
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Nublense Nublense 0-0 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
20.07.2024 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
17.02.2024 Nublense Nublense 0-0 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
30.09.2023 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-3 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
15.04.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-3 HT 1-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
08.08.2022 Nublense Nublense 2-1 HT 1-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coquimbo Unido
2-1
AWAY Nublense
0.72 xG 0.54
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
220 Passes 302
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coquimbo Unido squeezed past Nublense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coquimbo Unido as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Coquimbo Unido had 45% of the ball to Nublense's 55%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.72 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Coquimbo Unido and 1.00 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?

Coquimbo Unido 2-1 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coquimbo Unido win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Coquimbo Unido 51%, draw 25%, Nublense 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) ✗ Under 2.5
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