Union Espanola 3-4 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.68
No
37%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.7pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.42/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.21
+39% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.5 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 1.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
261 Passes 244
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.04.2025 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
22.03.2025 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİLİK
07.02.2025 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 3-1 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİLİK
11.08.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
10.03.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
30.07.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
3-4
AWAY Audax Italiano
2.52 xG 1.65
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
281 Passes 191
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano edged past Union Espanola 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Union Espanola at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Union Espanola had 58% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 42%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.52 to 1.65 — on chances, Union Espanola could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Espanola and 1.00 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Audax Italiano?

Union Espanola 3-4 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 42%, draw 25%, Audax Italiano 33%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Espanola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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