Audax Italiano 2-0 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -6%
1.29/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.51
-15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.1 Crosses 19.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Union Espanola
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
284 Passes 225
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2025 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİLİK
07.02.2025 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 3-1 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİLİK
11.08.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
10.03.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
30.07.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
10.02.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
2-0
AWAY Union Espanola
2.66 xG 1.48
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
282 Passes 374
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 24
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano beat Union Espanola 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Audax Italiano as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 43% of the ball to Union Espanola's 57%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.66 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Espanola led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Audax Italiano and 1.50 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs Union Espanola?

Audax Italiano 2-0 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 43%, draw 25%, Union Espanola 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audax Italiano) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Audax Italiano)
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