Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.8pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.17/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.14
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.7 Crosses 16.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coquimbo Unido
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nublense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 0.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 336
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Nublense Nublense 0-0 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
30.09.2023 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-3 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
15.04.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-3 HT 1-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
08.08.2022 Nublense Nublense 2-1 HT 1-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
12.03.2022 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 0-1 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
24.10.2015 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coquimbo Unido
1-0
AWAY Nublense
0.95 xG 1.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
288 Passes 337
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 32
27 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coquimbo Unido squeezed past Nublense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coquimbo Unido as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Coquimbo Unido had 47% of the ball to Nublense's 53%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.95 to 1.70 — on chances, Nublense could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nublense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Coquimbo Unido and 1.33 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?

Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coquimbo Unido win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Coquimbo Unido 43%, draw 25%, Nublense 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coquimbo Unido), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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