O Higgins 2-0 Copiapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Higgins EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Copiapo EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.17/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.28
-36% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
21.8 Crosses 14.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Higgins
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Copiapo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
294 Passes 263
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Copiapo Copiapo 1-3 HT 0-2 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
13.08.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 1-1 HT 0-1 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
28.02.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 2-2 HT 1-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME O Higgins
2-0
AWAY Copiapo
2.54 xG 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
226 Passes 219
66% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH O Higgins vs Copiapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Higgins beat Copiapo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day O Higgins made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, O Higgins had 50% of the ball to Copiapo's 50%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.54 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, O Higgins had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for O Higgins and 1.33 for Copiapo.

What was the final score of O Higgins vs Copiapo?

O Higgins 2-0 Copiapo in the Chile - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Higgins vs Copiapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Higgins win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split O Higgins 38%, draw 30%, Copiapo 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (O Higgins), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (O Higgins) ✓ Under 2.5
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