Huachipato 1-1 Cobreloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -22%
1.54/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.99
-10% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -59%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
26.2 Crosses 15.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Cobreloa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 1.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
268 Passes 220
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
19.02.2024 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-1 HT 1-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
05.04.2015 Cobreloa Cobreloa 6-0 HT 1-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
01.11.2014 Huachipato Huachipato 2-0 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
15.01.2014 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-1 HT 1-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
1-1
AWAY Cobreloa
2.71 xG 0.44
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 Passes 179
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Cobreloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato and Cobreloa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Huachipato at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Huachipato had 62% of the ball to Cobreloa's 38%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.71 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Huachipato and 2.00 for Cobreloa.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Cobreloa?

Huachipato 1-1 Cobreloa in the Chile - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Cobreloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 50%, draw 25%, Cobreloa 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Huachipato) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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