Wolfsberger AC 3-1 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
21.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
11%
7.98
X/2
17%
4.45
X/X
9%
5.4
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.41
2/X
8%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.5 — our 12% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 55%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -24%
1.19/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.52
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
211 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 76%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
16.0 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsberger AC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Salzburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 1.80
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
194 Passes 469
63% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-1 HT 1-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
23.04.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
16.03.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
27.10.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
03.12.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
26.08.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 1-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
3-1
AWAY Salzburg
1.24 xG 1.37
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
227 Passes 473
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Wolfsberger AC vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC saw off Salzburg 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Salzburg at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 35% of the ball to Salzburg's 65%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.24 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.00 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Salzburg?

Wolfsberger AC 3-1 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 25%, draw 24%, Salzburg 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salzburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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