Salzburg 1-1 Wolfsberger AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 23 Apr 2025

Salzburg
1-1 HT 0-1
Wolfsberger AC
📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 25% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.41
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.5
X/2
15%
8.59
X/X
8%
5.25
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
13%
6.49
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salzburg v Wolfsberger AC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +23%
2.08/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.39
-4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +63%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 69%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.2 Crosses 14.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.82 xG 0.59
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
393 Passes 198
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
27 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
27.10.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
03.12.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
26.08.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 1-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
05.11.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 0-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
14.08.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU

Salzburg 1-1 Wolfsberger AC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
1-1
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
1.97 xG 1.16
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
509 Passes 206
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
40 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg and Wolfsberger AC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Salzburg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Salzburg had 66% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC's 34%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.97 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Salzburg and 0.50 for Wolfsberger AC.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC?

Salzburg 1-1 Wolfsberger AC in the Austria - Bundesliga on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 45%, draw 23%, Wolfsberger AC 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salzburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2025
19:30 Blau-Weiss Linz vs Rapid Wien Analysis →
21:30 Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz Analysis →