Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.39 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.5
1/2
9%
23.3
1/X
10%
14.15
X/1
9%
7.58
X/2
13%
4.76
X/X
8%
5.13
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.69
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 51%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.32/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.03
-23% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
16.5 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Rapid Wien
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.97 xG 1.36
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
186 Passes 466
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-1 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
25.08.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 3-0 HT 2-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
26.11.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-0 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
20.08.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 0-5 HT 0-2 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
26.10.2016 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 0-4 HT 0-3 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
2-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.34 xG 1.58
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
183 Passes 503
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 32
6 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Blau-Weiss Linz vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blau-Weiss Linz nicked a narrow win over Rapid Wien 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 31% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 69%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.34 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 2.00 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Rapid Wien?

Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 32%, draw 27%, Rapid Wien 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapid Wien) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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