Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austria Wien v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Austria Wien
AVU
0-3
HT 0-2
Sturm Graz
AVU
Austria Wien 2-1 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Austria Wien nicked a narrow win over Sturm Graz 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Austria Wien found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Austria Wien had 46% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 54%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.06 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Austria Wien's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Austria Wien and 1.50 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz?
Austria Wien 2-1 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 40%, draw 31%, Sturm Graz 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.