Blau-Weiss Linz 3-0 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
19.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.11
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
4.87
X/2
10%
6.54
X/X
10%
4.18
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.92
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · X/1 at 4.87 — our 22% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.68/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.56
+37% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.4 Crosses 14.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grazer AK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.29
53% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 Passes 292
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 HT 1-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
17.08.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-2 HT 0-2 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
28.04.2023 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-3 HT 0-3 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
12.08.2022 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
01.04.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
10.09.2021 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
3-0
AWAY Grazer AK
1.62 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
210 Passes 237
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blau-Weiss Linz vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blau-Weiss Linz cruised past Grazer AK 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Blau-Weiss Linz as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 50% of the ball to Grazer AK's 50%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.62 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 1.00 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Grazer AK?

Blau-Weiss Linz 3-0 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blau-Weiss Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 47%, draw 23%, Grazer AK 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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