Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
2.82
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.55
X/1
15%
4.48
X/2
13%
7.4
X/X
16%
4.29
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
10%
5.73
2/X
4%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.04/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.07
+30% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
17.2 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Grazer AK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.96 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
207 Passes 384
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-2 HT 0-2 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
28.04.2023 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-3 HT 0-3 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
12.08.2022 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
01.04.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
10.09.2021 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
11.04.2021 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 5-0 HT 2-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
1-2
AWAY Grazer AK
0.70 xG 1.57
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
387 Passes 201
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blau-Weiss Linz vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK squeezed past Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Grazer AK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 64% of the ball to Grazer AK's 36%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.70 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blau-Weiss Linz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 0.67 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Grazer AK?

Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blau-Weiss Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 37%, draw 30%, Grazer AK 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz) ✗ Under 2.5
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