Grazer AK 2-2 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 17 Aug 2024

Grazer AK
2-2 HT 0-2
Blau-Weiss Linz
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Grazer AK vs Blau-Weiss Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 26% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.81
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
17%
4.6
X/2
12%
7.14
X/X
12%
4.56
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.22
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grazer AK v Blau-Weiss Linz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.92/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.77
+22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
– Crosses 16.8
– Yellow Cards 1.4

Grazer AK vs Blau-Weiss Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.04.2023 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-3 HT 0-3 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
12.08.2022 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
01.04.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
10.09.2021 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
11.04.2021 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 5-0 HT 2-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
26.10.2020 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-1 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2

Grazer AK 2-2 Blau-Weiss Linz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
2-2
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.00 xG 0.96
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
384 Passes 207
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK and Blau-Weiss Linz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Grazer AK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Grazer AK had 62% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 38%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.00 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blau-Weiss Linz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grazer AK and 1.83 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Grazer AK 2-2 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 42%, draw 26%, Blau-Weiss Linz 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grazer AK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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