Austria Klagenfurt 0-2 Sturm Graz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
53%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 27% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
11.25
1/2
5%
21.85
1/X
6%
18.85
X/1
9%
14.5
X/2
19%
3.63
X/X
13%
6.58
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.7
2/X
6%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
53%
Away Win
66%
-12.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 70%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.09/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.81
-17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +66%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
213 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
16.9 Crosses 20.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sturm Graz
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.54 xG 2.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
278 Passes 337
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
17.03.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-4 HT 0-4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
12.11.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
12.08.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
14.05.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-1 HT 2-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
16.04.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-2 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
0-2
AWAY Sturm Graz
2.34 xG 2.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
226 Passes 330
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Austria Klagenfurt vs Sturm Graz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz got the better of Austria Klagenfurt 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Austria Klagenfurt had 44% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 56%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.34 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 2.50 for Sturm Graz.

What was the final score of Austria Klagenfurt vs Sturm Graz?

Austria Klagenfurt 0-2 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Klagenfurt vs Sturm Graz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Austria Klagenfurt 22%, draw 25%, Sturm Graz 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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