Austria Wien 1-0 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.21
6+ Goals
13%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
20%
4.63
X/2
11%
7.73
X/X
9%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.4
2/2
15%
5.41
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.4 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +24%
1.84/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.65
+30% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.6 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hartberg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.80 xG 1.79
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
296 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
28.05.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
24.05.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
10.02.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-1 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
17.09.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
25.02.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
1-0
AWAY Hartberg
1.58 xG 0.95
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
403 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien squeezed past Hartberg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Wien had 57% of the ball to Hartberg's 43%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.58 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Austria Wien and 0.83 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Hartberg?

Austria Wien 1-0 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 48%, draw 21%, Hartberg 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
24 Nov 2024
16:30 Wolfsberger AC vs Rheindorf Altach Analysis →
16:30 Blau-Weiss Linz vs Grazer AK Analysis →