Dender EH vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dender EH v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals
Dender EH vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Dender EH 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise edged past Dender EH 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Dender EH had 36% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 64%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.08 to 1.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Saint-Gilloise's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dender EH and 2.00 for Union Saint-Gilloise.
What was the final score of Dender EH vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Dender EH 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 15%, draw 27%, Union Saint-Gilloise 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.