Burgess Hill Town 1-3 Farnham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.15
Over 2.5
68%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.6
No
30%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.6pp
32%
Under 2.5
43%
-11.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
57%
+11.1pp
70%
BTTS Yes
58%
+11.7pp
30%
BTTS No
42%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgess Hill Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnham Town EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
244 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Burgess Hill Town vs Farnham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnham Town saw off Burgess Hill Town 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Farnham Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (70%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Burgess Hill Town vs Farnham Town?

Burgess Hill Town 1-3 Farnham Town in the England - FA Cup on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgess Hill Town vs Farnham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farnham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Burgess Hill Town 32%, draw 28%, Farnham Town 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnham Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farnham Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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