Radcliffe Borough 1-1 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.90/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.64
+35% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radcliffe Borough
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Southport
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.02.2025 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 4-1 HT 2-0 Southport Southport İCON
07.09.2024 Southport Southport 2-2 HT 0-2 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
1-1
AWAY Southport
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radcliffe Borough and Southport shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Radcliffe Borough at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 55% of the ball to Southport's 45%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Radcliffe Borough had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Radcliffe Borough and 1.50 for Southport.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Southport?

Radcliffe Borough 1-1 Southport in the England - FA Cup on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radcliffe Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 56%, draw 23%, Southport 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radcliffe Borough), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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