Hungerford Town 3-0 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-5.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.4pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 23%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/3.04
+39% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hungerford Town
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2025 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 1-3 HT 1-1 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
26.08.2024 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
27.01.2024 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
26.09.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-3 HT 0-2 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hungerford Town
3-0
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hungerford Town vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hungerford Town ran out comfortable winners over Swindon Supermarine 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hungerford Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Hungerford Town had 61% of the ball to Swindon Supermarine's 39%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hungerford Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Hungerford Town and 1.75 for Swindon Supermarine.

What was the final score of Hungerford Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Hungerford Town 3-0 Swindon Supermarine in the England - FA Cup on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hungerford Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hungerford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hungerford Town 53%, draw 23%, Swindon Supermarine 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hungerford Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hungerford Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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