Hemel Hempstead Town 4-1 Bishops Stortford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bishops Stortford EU Bookmakers 21%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.84/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-61% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bishops Stortford
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Bishops Stortford Bishops Stortford FAK
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bishops Stortford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town ran out comfortable winners over Bishops Stortford 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hemel Hempstead Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bishops Stortford?

Hemel Hempstead Town 4-1 Bishops Stortford in the England - FA Cup on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bishops Stortford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 50%, draw 24%, Bishops Stortford 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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