Hemel Hempstead Town 0-1 Bishops Stortford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
28%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
68%
-16.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
13%
+14.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bishops Stortford EU Bookmakers 16%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.40/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.51
-43% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +56%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
407 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1
AWAY Bishops Stortford
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bishops Stortford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bishops Stortford edged past Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hemel Hempstead Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 55% of the ball to Bishops Stortford's 45%, shots finished 17-10.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bishops Stortford?

Hemel Hempstead Town 0-1 Bishops Stortford in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bishops Stortford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 52%, draw 20%, Bishops Stortford 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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