Orlando Pirates 3-0 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.9
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.48
Over 2.5
51%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.27
No
46%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
5.44
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
64%
-14.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
36%
+14.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
40%
+14.0pp
46%
BTTS No
60%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.72/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.29
+11% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
15.6 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.59
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
436 Passes 198
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2025 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
11.03.2025 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
01.12.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-1 HT 0-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
05.10.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-1 HT 1-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAF8K
29.12.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-3 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
24.09.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-1 HT 0-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
3-0
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
2.69 xG 0.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
381 Passes 373
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates swept aside Stellenbosch FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 48% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 52%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.69 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stellenbosch FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orlando Pirates and 1.00 for Stellenbosch FC.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch FC?

Orlando Pirates 3-0 Stellenbosch FC in the South Afrika - Cup on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 54%, draw 25%, Stellenbosch FC 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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