Changwon City 2-1 Gangneung City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.21/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.33
-11% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Gangneung City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
18.05.2025 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
05.10.2024 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
09.06.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
14.07.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
02.04.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 0-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.09.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Gangneung City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City edged past Gangneung City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Changwon City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Changwon City and 0.83 for Gangneung City.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Gangneung City?

Changwon City 2-1 Gangneung City in the South Kore - K3 League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Gangneung City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 45%, draw 27%, Gangneung City 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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