Gangneung City 1-0 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 5 Oct 2024

Gangneung City
1-0 HT 0-0
Changwon City
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K3 League – 2024

Gangneung City vs Changwon City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.6pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gangneung City v Changwon City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.15/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.95
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
231 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Gangneung City vs Changwon City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangneung City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Changwon City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
The Meetings
09.06.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
14.07.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
02.04.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 0-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.09.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
18.06.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 2-3 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
22.05.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-2 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gangneung City vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangneung City nicked a narrow win over Changwon City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Gangneung City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gangneung City and 1.83 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Gangneung City vs Changwon City?

Gangneung City 1-0 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangneung City vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gangneung City 35%, draw 29%, Changwon City 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Changwon City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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