Paju Citizen 2-0 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.9pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
1.15/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.07
-4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
08.06.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-2 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
12.08.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 3-0 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
16.04.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-0 HT 2-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
09.07.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
26.03.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-3 HT 0-2 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
23.10.2021 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen got the better of Ulsan Citizen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Paju Citizen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paju Citizen and 1.17 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen?

Paju Citizen 2-0 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 39%, draw 32%, Ulsan Citizen 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paju Citizen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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